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Tap any game for the matchup breakdown — history, projection, and a simulated result.
2025 SP+: 20.7 → 18.7 after regression
65%Roster talent: 94th percentile
18%Recruiting class: #10 national
16%Returning production: 73%
4%Preseason blend — SP+ weight rises when 2026 numbers publish (Aug). How we rank · not a betting line.
15 adds in two-deep · avg 86 OVR · top add: I. Horton (WR, 92, from Alabama)
- TEMicah Riley (77) vs Houston Thomas (77)Δ0
Updated Aug 17, 2026 · Data from public sources