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Tap any game for the matchup breakdown — history, projection, and a simulated result.
2025 SP+: -6.1 → -5.4 after regression
65%Roster talent: 60th percentile
18%Recruiting class: #55 national
16%Returning production: 48%
4%Preseason blend — SP+ weight rises when 2026 numbers publish (Aug). How we rank · not a betting line.
30 adds in two-deep · avg 71 OVR · top add: M. Clark (NB, 81, from Florida International)
- TEGeorge Burhenn (64) vs Kylan Fox (64)Δ0
- RTNuku Mafi (74) vs Jatavius Shivers (73)Δ1
Updated Aug 17, 2026 · Data from public sources