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Tap any game for the matchup breakdown — history, projection, and a simulated result.
2025 SP+: 25.9 → 23.4 after regression
65%Roster talent: 96th percentile
18%Recruiting class: #3 national
16%Returning production: 75%
4%Preseason blend — SP+ weight rises when 2026 numbers publish (Aug). How we rank · not a betting line.
9 adds in two-deep · avg 84 OVR · top add: K. Perich (SS, 91, from Minnesota)
Updated Aug 17, 2026 · Data from public sources