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Tap any game for the matchup breakdown — history, projection, and a simulated result.
2025 SP+: 32.4 → 29.2 after regression
65%Roster talent: 46th percentile
18%Recruiting class: #29 national
16%Returning production: 17%
4%Preseason blend — SP+ weight rises when 2026 numbers publish (Aug). How we rank · not a betting line.
19 adds in two-deep · avg 90 OVR · top add: J. Hoover (QB, 99, from TCU)
- LGDrew Evans (80) vs Evan Parker (79)Δ1
Updated Aug 17, 2026 · Data from public sources