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Tap any game for the matchup breakdown — history, projection, and a simulated result.
2025 SP+: -8.8 → -7.9 after regression
65%Roster talent: 10th percentile
18%Recruiting class: #95 national
16%Returning production: 54%
4%Preseason blend — SP+ weight rises when 2026 numbers publish (Aug). How we rank · not a betting line.
9 adds in two-deep · avg 68 OVR · top add: J. Taylor (FS, 78, from Wyoming)
- WRJustin Ruffin Jr. (62) vs Shawn Foster II (62)Δ0
- LTJacob Russell (63) vs Jacob Booth (63)Δ0
Updated Aug 17, 2026 · Data from public sources